TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087553
Played Sep 7Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911115115––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 27–22 Michal Vedmoch Michal Vedmoch has won 22 of their 49 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vedmoch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-22 in 49
Dousa
Correct
gap of 5 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1500 vs Vedmoch 1673
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 80% vs Vedmoch 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 60% vs Vedmoch 80%
Vedmoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa -1 · Vedmoch +4
Vedmoch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 2.00 / Vedmoch 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vedmoch)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087553
Dousa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 52 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Vedmoch1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite63% won 204 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it96% 103 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it80% 157 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa4wins
AwayVedmoch6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa42.9%3 of 7
AwayVedmoch66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa7Vedmoch3n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S2Dousa5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S3Dousa5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S4Dousa4Vedmoch5n = 9Vedmoch took 5 of 9
S5Dousa0Vedmoch4n = 4Vedmoch took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaVedmochD − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.340.4+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 700 vs 704 / 130749.4%53.9%346 / 700 vs 704 / 1307Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochDousa 2.00/Vedmoch 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.1%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 16:00T. Dousa—11713992M. Vedmoch—9111111113
LAug 14 · 19:00T. Dousa—11119892M. Vedmoch—981111113
LJun 29 · 21:30T. Dousa—111241092M. Vedmoch—6101112113
WJun 29 · 20:00T. Dousa—111311113M. Vedmoch—815561
WJun 29 · 14:30T. Dousa—11114113M. Vedmoch—961161
LJun 19 · 21:28T. Dousa—12117972M. Vedmoch—1071111113
LJun 19 · 18:30T. Dousa—59100M. Vedmoch—1111123
WJun 19 · 17:30T. Dousa—11811113M. Vedmoch—311581
WJun 19 · 14:30T. Dousa—91111113M. Vedmoch—118861
LJun 11 · 18:30T. Dousa—891161M. Vedmoch—11118113
T. Dousa10
LSep 7 · 16:30R. Pavelka1.911111113T. Dousa1.807580LSep 7 · 14:30M. Sedlak1.611111113T. Dousa2.208860WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.8311811143M. Sedlak1.838118121WSep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.251111113R. Pavelka1.579450WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113
Upcoming Matches
T. Dousa
M. Vedmoch
Sep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.20J. Hradecky1.61—Sep 7 · 19:00M. Vedmoch1.67L. Krticka2.10—Sep 7 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.75T. Janata1.40—Sep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20M. Sobisek1.61—Sep 8 · 15:00M. Vedmoch1.73J. Stolfa2.00—Sep 8 · 16:00M. Vedmoch2.75V. Cermak1.40—Sep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53V. Postelt2.38—Sep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.53J. Trefny2.38—Sep 9 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.50R. Pavelka1.50—Sep 9 · 02:30M. Vedmoch1.73R. Krejci2.00—
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