TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092932
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411113811118811
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 26–37 Jiri Plachy Tomas Dousa has won 26 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-37 in 63
Plachy
Correct
gap of 11 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1531 vs Plachy 1498
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 60% vs Plachy 80%
Plachy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 70% vs Plachy 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa +1 · Plachy +4
Plachy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.91 / Plachy 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plachy)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092932
Dousa1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 54 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Plachy1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it97% 70 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it86% 102 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa6wins
AwayPlachy4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa75%3 of 4
AwayPlachy50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S2Dousa6Plachy4n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S3Dousa6Plachy4n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S4Dousa5Plachy2n = 7Dousa took 5 of 7
S5Dousa2Plachy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaPlachyD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.6−0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 703 vs 746 / 160749.5%46.4%348 / 703 vs 746 / 1607Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyDousa 1.91/Plachy 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 18 · 16:58T. Dousa—911613113J. Plachy—119111192
LMay 18 · 14:30T. Dousa—101121162J. Plachy—126116113
WMay 16 · 01:30T. Dousa—1311113J. Plachy—11840
LMay 15 · 14:30T. Dousa—61020J. Plachy—1112113
WApr 26 · 14:30T. Dousa—12101110113J. Plachy—101291282
WMar 19 · 19:30T. Dousa—71111113J. Plachy—118891
LMar 7 · 04:00T. Dousa—129681J. Plachy—101111113
WMar 7 · 03:00T. Dousa—81111113J. Plachy—115881
LFeb 22 · 13:30T. Dousa—44111222J. Plachy—111181043
WFeb 22 · 10:00T. Dousa—1111133J. Plachy—78110
T. Dousa10
LSep 8 · 15:00J. Trefny1.801311113T. Dousa1.9111580WSep 7 · 16:59R. Pavelka1.831013111192T. Dousa1.831211136113LSep 7 · 16:30R. Pavelka1.911111113T. Dousa1.807580WSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551LSep 7 · 14:30M. Sedlak1.611111113T. Dousa2.208860WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891
J. Plachy10
WSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 7 · 13:30J. Plachy1.9111118113J. Trefny1.80891151WSep 7 · 12:30L. Malek2.253650J. Plachy1.571111113WSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182WSep 7 · 10:30J. Trefny1.67571151J. Plachy2.1011119113LSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181
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