TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092905
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113112115––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 43 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 54.0%
43 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 13–9 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-9 in 22
Plachy
Correct
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1510 vs Holovatiuk 1598
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 100% vs Holovatiuk 60%
Plachy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 70% vs Holovatiuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy +5 · Holovatiuk +2
Plachy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.44 / Holovatiuk 2.63
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Plachy)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13092905
Plachy1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it97% 70 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it86% 102 of 119
Holovatiuk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy5wins
AwayHolovatiuk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy75%3 of 4
AwayHolovatiuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Plachy6Holovatiuk4n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S3Plachy5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Plachy4Holovatiuk3n = 7Plachy took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyHolovatiukP − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.634.6+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime747 / 1608 vs 336 / 67046.5%50.2%747 / 1608 vs 336 / 670Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.44/Holovatiuk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.7%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 10:30J. Plachy—111111113Y. Holovatiuk—136761
WAug 4 · 06:30J. Plachy—12117113Y. Holovatiuk—1051161
WJul 22 · 15:00J. Plachy—1151114113Y. Holovatiuk—131141212
LApr 22 · 21:00J. Plachy—8111081Y. Holovatiuk—11612113
WApr 22 · 18:00J. Plachy—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—3660
LMar 19 · 20:30J. Plachy—7711111Y. Holovatiuk—11118133
LMar 15 · 13:59J. Plachy—5430Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
LMar 15 · 11:30J. Plachy—81161152Y. Holovatiuk—114115113
LJan 8 · 22:00J. Plachy—1151561Y. Holovatiuk—81117113
WJan 8 · 21:30J. Plachy—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—8760
J. Plachy10
LSep 8 · 16:30J. Trefny1.5391111113J. Plachy2.38117681WSep 8 · 14:30T. Dousa1.9141181182J. Plachy1.80113118113WSep 7 · 13:30J. Plachy1.9111118113J. Trefny1.80891151WSep 7 · 12:30L. Malek2.253650J. Plachy1.571111113WSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182WSep 7 · 10:30J. Trefny1.67571151J. Plachy2.1011119113LSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113WSep 8 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113J. Trefny1.614320WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123
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