TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091856
Played Sep 8Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114113112––––
Jan Trefny
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Trefny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jan Trefny below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 42 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Jan Trefny at 54.0%
42 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 0–1 Jan Trefny Yurii Holovatiuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Trefny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1583 vs Trefny 1575
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Trefny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Trefny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +1 · Trefny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Trefny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.20 / Trefny 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Trefny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091856
Holovatiuk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Trefny1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 24 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHolovatiuk0wins
AwayTrefny1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTrefny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHolovatiukTrefnyH − TBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match44.051.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukTrefnyBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 669 vs 51 / 10350.1%49.5%335 / 669 vs 51 / 103Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrefnyHolovatiuk 2.20/Trefny 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Trefny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 3 · 12:00Y. Holovatiuk—511101172J. Trefny—119128113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
J. Trefny10
WSep 8 · 15:00J. Trefny1.801311113T. Dousa1.9111580LSep 7 · 13:30J. Plachy1.9111118113J. Trefny1.80891151WSep 7 · 12:00V. Postelt1.611081151J. Trefny2.2012114113WSep 7 · 11:00L. Malek2.6381171132J. Trefny1.44119119113LSep 7 · 10:30J. Trefny1.67571151J. Plachy2.1011119113WSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113WSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050
Upcoming Matches
Y. Holovatiuk
J. Trefny
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.