TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13101003
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181141210––––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10
56 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 26–33 Jaroslav Prokupek Tomas Dousa has won 26 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Dousa beat Prokupek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.80 / Prokupek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dousa)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13101003
Dousa1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 92 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it72% 60 of 83
Prokupek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 106 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa71.4%5 of 7
AwayProkupek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa7Prokupek3n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S2Dousa6Prokupek4n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S3Dousa9Prokupek1n = 10Dousa took 9 of 10
S4Dousa2Prokupek4n = 6Prokupek took 4 of 6
S5Dousa1Prokupek3n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaProkupekD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.535.0+5.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 702 vs 648 / 136149.7%47.6%349 / 702 vs 648 / 1361Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDousa 1.80/Prokupek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 20:00T. Dousa—1111113J. Prokupek—4890
LAug 24 · 20:30T. Dousa—891981J. Prokupek—111117113
WMay 26 · 15:30T. Dousa—1111113J. Prokupek—2650
WMay 15 · 23:00T. Dousa—711128113J. Prokupek—117101182
WMay 15 · 15:00T. Dousa—1211113J. Prokupek—10450
LApr 26 · 15:00T. Dousa—511101162J. Prokupek—118129113
WApr 11 · 16:30T. Dousa—111111113J. Prokupek—813281
LApr 7 · 16:00T. Dousa—11711392J. Prokupek—811811113
LApr 6 · 24:30T. Dousa—111011882J. Prokupek—512611113
WMar 23 · 19:30T. Dousa—1114113J. Prokupek—81240
T. Dousa10
WSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113WSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051WSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113WSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:00J. Trefny1.801311113T. Dousa1.9111580LSep 8 · 14:30T. Dousa1.9141181182J. Plachy1.80113118113WSep 7 · 16:59R. Pavelka1.831013111192T. Dousa1.831211136113LSep 7 · 16:30R. Pavelka1.911111113T. Dousa1.807580WSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551
J. Prokupek10
LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123WSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182LSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140WSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113LSep 7 · 09:29J. Svoboda1.40111111123J. Prokupek2.750138101WSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113
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