TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465788
Played Aug 21Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012311811––––
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:17 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 62.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 7–14 Jiri Dedek Lukas Krok has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-14 in 21
Dedek
Correct
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krok 1481 vs Dedek 1461
Krok
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 40% vs Dedek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 60% vs Dedek 40%
Krok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok +1 · Dedek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 2.63 / Dedek 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Dedek)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465788
Krok2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 59 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Dedek1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 147 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it98% 86 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it80% 111 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrok3wins
AwayDedek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrok60%3 of 5
AwayDedek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krok5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S2Krok4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Krok2Dedek8n = 10Dedek took 8 of 10
S4Krok3Dedek5n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S5Krok2Dedek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokDedekK − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.340.5−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 368 vs 464 / 90946.2%51.1%170 / 368 vs 464 / 909Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekKrok 2.63/Dedek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 19 · 20:58L. Krok—8770J. Dedek—1111113
WJun 19 · 18:00L. Krok—116711113J. Dedek—71111982
LMay 27 · 18:00L. Krok—119921J. Dedek—31111113
WApr 18 · 20:30L. Krok—111156143J. Dedek—321111122
WMar 26 · 20:30L. Krok—11117113J. Dedek—951181
LNov 24 · 22:30L. Krok—61151152J. Dedek—115118113
LNov 24 · 20:30L. Krok—8101251J. Dedek—111210113
LNov 18 · 22:30L. Krok—821791J. Dedek—111115113
LNov 18 · 20:00L. Krok—11116362J. Dedek—831111113
LOct 28 · 22:00L. Krok—45120J. Dedek—1111143
L. Krok10
WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113LSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:00L. Krok2.25116741T. Kolenic1.5781111113LAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:00L. Krok2.00133991F. Briza1.73111111113LAug 21 · 21:28L. Krok1.831210581J. Prokupek1.83101211113WAug 21 · 20:30L. Krok2.631211113J. Prokupek1.4410970
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.