TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12470447
Played Aug 22Finished
Vaclav Nohejl
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117116––––
Lukas Krok
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Lukas Krok at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1471 vs Krok 1467
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 20% vs Krok 40%
Krok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 60% vs Krok 40%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -2 · Krok -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 2.00 / Krok 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nohejl)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12470447
Nohejl2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 27 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back39% 9 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Krok1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 22 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 165 vs 170 / 37055.8%46%92 / 165 vs 170 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 2.00/Krok 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nohejl won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Nohejl10
LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111LAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl1.53111151182J. Didi2.38813118113LAug 16 · 06:30M. Tacinec2.63118128113V. Nohejl1.44911101192WAug 15 · 13:30V. Nohejl1.44119118113M. Stefek2.6371171182WAug 15 · 12:00V. Nohejl1.408111011113M. Stefek2.7511612492WAug 15 · 11:30J. Didi1.8311814552V. Nohejl1.839111211113
L. Krok10
WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113LSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:00L. Krok2.25116741T. Kolenic1.5781111113LAug 22 · 18:00L. Krok2.00133991F. Briza1.73111111113LAug 21 · 21:28L. Krok1.831210581J. Prokupek1.83101211113WAug 21 · 20:30L. Krok2.631211113J. Prokupek1.4410970LAug 21 · 19:00L. Krok2.6310380J. Dedek1.441211113
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