TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12443012
Played Aug 16Finished
Julius Didi
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113119––––
Vaclav Nohejl
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Vaclav Nohejl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9
54 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 5–3 Vaclav Nohejl Vaclav Nohejl has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.20 / Nohejl 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Nohejl)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12443012
Didi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 92 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back20% 22 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Nohejl1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 49 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it72% 36 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDidi5wins
AwayNohejl3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderDidi leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi80%4 of 5
AwayNohejl66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi5Nohejl3n = 8Didi took 5 of 8
S2Didi5Nohejl3n = 8Didi took 5 of 8
S3Didi6Nohejl2n = 8Didi took 6 of 8
S4Didi2Nohejl2n = 4split evenly
S5Didi1Nohejl2n = 3Nohejl took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricDidiNohejlD − NBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match37.037.5−0.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 706 vs 94 / 16751.6%56.3%364 / 706 vs 94 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlDidi 2.20/Nohejl 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 16 · 07:30J. Didi—813118113V. Nohejl—111151182
LAug 15 · 11:30J. Didi—11814552V. Nohejl—9111211113
WJun 27 · 13:30J. Didi—1111143V. Nohejl—99120
LJun 27 · 12:30J. Didi—21151122V. Nohejl—119119113
WApr 14 · 18:00J. Didi—1111113V. Nohejl—9880
LApr 12 · 09:28J. Didi—71260V. Nohejl—1114113
WApr 12 · 06:30J. Didi—11711133V. Nohejl—6111111
WApr 11 · 14:30J. Didi—1311113V. Nohejl—11990
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113
V. Nohejl10
LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl1.53111151182J. Didi2.38813118113LAug 16 · 06:30M. Tacinec2.63118128113V. Nohejl1.44911101192WAug 15 · 13:30V. Nohejl1.44119118113M. Stefek2.6371171182WAug 15 · 12:00V. Nohejl1.408111011113M. Stefek2.7511612492WAug 15 · 11:30J. Didi1.8311814552V. Nohejl1.839111211113
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