TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12469510
Played Aug 22Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131131191311––
Vaclav Nohejl
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Vaclav Nohejl below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 82 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 56.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 5–2 Vaclav Nohejl Vaclav Nohejl has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolenic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Kolenic
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1586 vs Nohejl 1497
Kolenic
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 80% vs Nohejl 40%
Kolenic
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 60% vs Nohejl 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic +2 · Nohejl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolenic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenic form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 1.73 / Nohejl 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kolenic)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12469510
Kolenic1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 65 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 53 of 72
Nohejl2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 27 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back39% 9 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKolenic5wins
AwayNohejl2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKolenic leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic100%3 of 3
AwayNohejl50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic3Nohejl4n = 7Nohejl took 4 of 7
S2Kolenic4Nohejl3n = 7Kolenic took 4 of 7
S3Kolenic3Nohejl4n = 7Nohejl took 4 of 7
S4Kolenic4Nohejl1n = 5Kolenic took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKolenicNohejlK − NBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.636.0+2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 576 vs 93 / 16747.2%55.7%272 / 576 vs 93 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicKolenic 1.73/Nohejl 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic—111111133V. Nohejl—1339111
WJul 26 · 14:30T. Kolenic—121189113V. Nohejl—108111182
WJul 24 · 20:30T. Kolenic—11811113V. Nohejl—911641
LJul 13 · 11:00T. Kolenic—61380V. Nohejl—1115113
LJun 26 · 15:00T. Kolenic—8760V. Nohejl—1111113
WJun 8 · 20:58T. Kolenic—91111123V. Nohejl—1196101
WJun 8 · 20:30T. Kolenic—11117123V. Nohejl—6511101
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic1.671013811153F. Briza2.101211118132
V. Nohejl10
LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl1.53111151182J. Didi2.38813118113LAug 16 · 06:30M. Tacinec2.63118128113V. Nohejl1.44911101192WAug 15 · 13:30V. Nohejl1.44119118113M. Stefek2.6371171182WAug 15 · 12:00V. Nohejl1.408111011113M. Stefek2.7511612492WAug 15 · 11:30J. Didi1.8311814552V. Nohejl1.839111211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.