TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048008
Played Aug 31Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811911911––
Jan Trefny
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Trefny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Jan Trefny below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-9
Point 73 set 4, 9-9 — our read held Jan Trefny at 54.0%
73 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Trefny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1471 vs Trefny 1512
Trefny
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 20% vs Trefny 40%
Trefny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 30% vs Trefny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic -3 · Trefny -1
Kolenic
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Trefny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trefny form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 2.20 / Trefny 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Trefny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048008
Kolenic2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 39 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Trefny1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 15 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicTrefnyBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 585 vs 34 / 7546.7%45.3%273 / 585 vs 34 / 75Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrefnyKolenic 2.20/Trefny 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Trefny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Trefny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic1.671013811153F. Briza2.101211118132LAug 28 · 19:00T. Kolenic2.25671161Y. Holovatiuk1.5711112113
J. Trefny10
LSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113WSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741WSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100LSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101WSep 6 · 15:30J. Steffan2.38811461J. Trefny1.5311911113
Upcoming Matches
T. Kolenic
Nothing scheduled
J. Trefny
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