TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046694
Played Aug 31Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116116––––
Tibor Kolenic
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:20 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Tibor Kolenic below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 59.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 4–3 Tibor Kolenic Tibor Kolenic has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:20What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1477 vs Kolenic 1454
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 0% vs Kolenic 40%
Kolenic
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 30% vs Kolenic 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -5 · Kolenic +2
Plachy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenic form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.80 / Kolenic 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plachy)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046694
Plachy1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 141 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 99 of 119
Kolenic1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 40 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back12% 10 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePlachy4wins
AwayKolenic3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderPlachy leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy100%3 of 3
AwayKolenic75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy3Kolenic4n = 7Kolenic took 4 of 7
S2Plachy3Kolenic4n = 7Kolenic took 4 of 7
S3Plachy4Kolenic3n = 7Plachy took 4 of 7
S4Plachy2Kolenic1n = 3Plachy took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricPlachyKolenicP − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match30.332.1−1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime738 / 1602 vs 273 / 58446.1%46.8%738 / 1602 vs 273 / 584Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.80/Kolenic 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy—1111113T. Kolenic—9660
LApr 29 · 19:00J. Plachy—4660T. Kolenic—1111113
WJul 19 · 18:30J. Plachy—81111113T. Kolenic—119661
LMar 10 · 21:30J. Plachy—3360T. Kolenic—1111113
WFeb 11 · 03:00J. Plachy—115611113T. Kolenic—81111662
WFeb 5 · 04:30J. Plachy—1211113T. Kolenic—10770
LFeb 5 · 02:30J. Plachy—791151T. Kolenic—11117113
J. Plachy10
LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic1.671013811153F. Briza2.101211118132LAug 28 · 19:00T. Kolenic2.25671161Y. Holovatiuk1.5711112113
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