TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030419
Played Aug 28Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101213118111181513
Frantisek Briza
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 112 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 57.0%
112 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 51–38 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 38 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolenic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-38 in 89
Kolenic
Correct
gap of 13 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1526 vs Briza 1418
Kolenic
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 40% vs Briza 20%
Kolenic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 30% vs Briza 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic -3 · Briza -1
Kolenic
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolenic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 1.67 / Briza 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kolenic)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030419
Kolenic1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 69 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it74% 55 of 74
Briza2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 84 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic6wins
AwayBriza4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic66.7%2 of 3
AwayBriza42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic3Briza7n = 10Briza took 7 of 10
S2Kolenic8Briza2n = 10Kolenic took 8 of 10
S3Kolenic7Briza3n = 10Kolenic took 7 of 10
S4Kolenic4Briza4n = 8split evenly
S5Kolenic2Briza2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicBrizaK − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.139.2−0.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 579 vs 383 / 83646.8%45.8%271 / 579 vs 383 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicKolenic 1.67/Briza 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 21:29T. Kolenic—1111113F. Briza—7870
WAug 22 · 19:00T. Kolenic—1111113F. Briza—6880
WAug 7 · 17:01T. Kolenic—511115113F. Briza—11891182
LAug 7 · 16:30T. Kolenic—85111152F. Briza—111175113
LAug 6 · 17:28T. Kolenic—121121282F. Briza—1461110113
WAug 6 · 14:30T. Kolenic—911119113F. Briza—11991172
WAug 4 · 15:30T. Kolenic—111111113F. Briza—138871
WJul 22 · 21:30T. Kolenic—71111133F. Briza—1159111
LJul 22 · 20:30T. Kolenic—511461F. Briza—11911113
LJul 19 · 14:30T. Kolenic—128681F. Briza—101111113
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113LAug 28 · 19:00T. Kolenic2.25671161Y. Holovatiuk1.5711112113
F. Briza10
WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 2 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.39971111113F. Briza2.5511112952LAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.