TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047788
Played Aug 31Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81113118111311116
Michal Vedmoch
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:22 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 103 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 64.5%
103 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 11–11 Michal Vedmoch Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vedmoch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1454 vs Vedmoch 1562
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 40% vs Vedmoch 60%
Vedmoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 40% vs Vedmoch 60%
Vedmoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic -1 · Vedmoch +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 2.75 / Vedmoch 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Vedmoch)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047788
Kolenic2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 40 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back12% 10 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Vedmoch1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 200 of 321
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it80% 152 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic3wins
AwayVedmoch7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic40%2 of 5
AwayVedmoch80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolenic4Vedmoch6n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S3Kolenic3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S4Kolenic5Vedmoch3n = 8Kolenic took 5 of 8
S5Kolenic1Vedmoch4n = 5Vedmoch took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicVedmochK − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.6−1.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 584 vs 694 / 130046.8%53.4%273 / 584 vs 694 / 1300Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochKolenic 2.75/Vedmoch 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic—813813113M. Vedmoch—1111111162
LAug 24 · 15:30T. Kolenic—9111181M. Vedmoch—11813113
LMay 28 · 19:00T. Kolenic—12790M. Vedmoch—1411113
LApr 20 · 15:30T. Kolenic—2670M. Vedmoch—1111113
LDec 22 · 17:00T. Kolenic—11871182M. Vedmoch—611117113
LOct 18 · 09:30T. Kolenic—11661112M. Vedmoch—411119113
LOct 18 · 08:00T. Kolenic—101113842M. Vedmoch—1221111113
WOct 11 · 20:30T. Kolenic—11711113M. Vedmoch—711831
WSep 23 · 20:00T. Kolenic—111113113M. Vedmoch—631551
LJul 18 · 19:30T. Kolenic—11711872M. Vedmoch—711711113
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic1.671013811153F. Briza2.101211118132LAug 28 · 19:00T. Kolenic2.25671161Y. Holovatiuk1.5711112113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.801211113J. Prokupek1.9110880WSep 2 · 13:30J. Plachy2.00311651M. Vedmoch1.7311711113
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