TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048255
Played Aug 31Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711511117119
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:17 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 68.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 19–5 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:17What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-5 in 24
Kolenic
Correct
gap of 14 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1451 vs Dedek 1566
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 20% vs Dedek 60%
Dedek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 30% vs Dedek 50%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic -4 · Dedek -1
Kolenic
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 32% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenic form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 1.83 / Dedek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dedek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048255
Kolenic1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Dedek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic9wins
AwayDedek1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic87.5%7 of 8
AwayDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic8Dedek2n = 10Kolenic took 8 of 10
S2Kolenic7Dedek3n = 10Kolenic took 7 of 10
S3Kolenic8Dedek2n = 10Kolenic took 8 of 10
S4Kolenic4Dedek2n = 6Kolenic took 4 of 6
S5Kolenic2Dedek1n = 3Kolenic took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicDedekK − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.029.2+9.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 586 vs 468 / 90846.6%51.5%273 / 586 vs 468 / 908Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekKolenic 1.83/Dedek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 11 · 18:00T. Kolenic—1111123J. Dedek—33100
LApr 20 · 16:30T. Kolenic—11812732J. Dedek—3111011113
WOct 30 · 22:00T. Kolenic—113811113J. Dedek—91111562
WOct 30 · 19:30T. Kolenic—1111113J. Dedek—2930
WOct 20 · 16:30T. Kolenic—91112113J. Dedek—1191061
WOct 5 · 18:30T. Kolenic—71111113J. Dedek—115391
WSep 16 · 17:00T. Kolenic—11117113J. Dedek—691141
WSep 16 · 14:30T. Kolenic—1111113J. Dedek—9950
WSep 4 · 10:00T. Kolenic—116119123J. Dedek—811411102
WAug 11 · 12:00T. Kolenic—1111113J. Dedek—5350
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic1.671013811153F. Briza2.101211118132LAug 28 · 19:00T. Kolenic2.25671161Y. Holovatiuk1.5711112113
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113WAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.