TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030378
Played Aug 28Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711112611––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 65 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 58.1%
65 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 16–25 Yurii Holovatiuk Tibor Kolenic has won 16 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-25 in 41
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1532 vs Holovatiuk 1543
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 40% vs Holovatiuk 60%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 40% vs Holovatiuk 60%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic -2 · Holovatiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 2.25 / Holovatiuk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030378
Kolenic2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 39 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Holovatiuk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 75 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic2wins
AwayHolovatiuk8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic40%2 of 5
AwayHolovatiuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolenic4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S3Kolenic4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S4Kolenic2Holovatiuk7n = 9Holovatiuk took 7 of 9
S5Kolenic1Holovatiuk3n = 4Holovatiuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicHolovatiukK − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.341.2−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 577 vs 315 / 64346.8%49%270 / 577 vs 315 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukKolenic 2.25/Holovatiuk 1.57
Hit
What we said
59.3%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 21:30T. Kolenic—811891Y. Holovatiuk—11711113
LAug 26 · 18:00T. Kolenic—81141132Y. Holovatiuk—114116113
LAug 21 · 11:30T. Kolenic—48110Y. Holovatiuk—1111133
WAug 15 · 17:30T. Kolenic—111111113Y. Holovatiuk—913381
LAug 15 · 14:00T. Kolenic—81111772Y. Holovatiuk—114811113
LJul 29 · 15:00T. Kolenic—1197111Y. Holovatiuk—61111133
WJul 24 · 19:00T. Kolenic—115119113Y. Holovatiuk—51191132
LJun 11 · 18:00T. Kolenic—111311792Y. Holovatiuk—515911113
LJun 8 · 19:30T. Kolenic—512861Y. Holovatiuk—111011113
LMay 21 · 18:00T. Kolenic—1141071Y. Holovatiuk—81112113
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic1.671013811153F. Briza2.101211118132
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
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