TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438527
Played Aug 16Finished
Vaclav Nohejl
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181113511118811
Julius Didi
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl at 55.4%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 3–6 Julius Didi Vaclav Nohejl has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Didi
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1480 vs Didi 1496
Didi
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 80% vs Didi 20%
Nohejl
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 80% vs Didi 40%
Nohejl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -1 · Didi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.53 / Didi 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Nohejl)-1.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12438527
Nohejl1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 50 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it71% 37 of 52
Didi2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 96 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back20% 22 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeNohejl3wins
AwayDidi6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDidi leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl66.7%2 of 3
AwayDidi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl3Didi6n = 9Didi took 6 of 9
S2Nohejl3Didi6n = 9Didi took 6 of 9
S3Nohejl2Didi7n = 9Didi took 7 of 9
S4Nohejl2Didi2n = 4split evenly
S5Nohejl2Didi1n = 3Nohejl took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricNohejlDidiN − DBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match35.736.6−0.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 164 vs 370 / 71656.1%51.7%92 / 164 vs 370 / 716Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.53/Didi 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 16 · 09:28V. Nohejl—9390J. Didi—1111113
LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl—111151182J. Didi—813118113
WAug 15 · 11:30V. Nohejl—9111211113J. Didi—11814552
LJun 27 · 13:30V. Nohejl—99120J. Didi—1111143
WJun 27 · 12:30V. Nohejl—119119113J. Didi—21151122
LApr 14 · 18:00V. Nohejl—9880J. Didi—1111113
WApr 12 · 09:28V. Nohejl—1114113J. Didi—71260
LApr 12 · 06:30V. Nohejl—6111111J. Didi—11711133
LApr 11 · 14:30V. Nohejl—11990J. Didi—1311113
V. Nohejl10
LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111LAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 06:30M. Tacinec2.63118128113V. Nohejl1.44911101192WAug 15 · 13:30V. Nohejl1.44119118113M. Stefek2.6371171182WAug 15 · 12:00V. Nohejl1.408111011113M. Stefek2.7511612492WAug 15 · 11:30J. Didi1.8311814552V. Nohejl1.839111211113
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151WAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390LAug 15 · 11:30J. Didi1.8311814552V. Nohejl1.839111211113
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