TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434272
Played Aug 15Finished
Vaclav Nohejl
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111161012114119
Martin Stefek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:45 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl at 65.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 4–4 Martin Stefek Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1525 vs Stefek 1412
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 100% vs Stefek 40%
Nohejl
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 80% vs Stefek 40%
Nohejl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +5 · Stefek +2
Nohejl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.40 / Stefek 2.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Nohejl)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434272
Nohejl1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 46 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 34 of 48
Stefek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 174 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back22% 51 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeNohejl4wins
AwayStefek4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl40%2 of 5
AwayStefek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl5Stefek3n = 8Nohejl took 5 of 8
S2Nohejl6Stefek2n = 8Nohejl took 6 of 8
S3Nohejl2Stefek6n = 8Stefek took 6 of 8
S4Nohejl2Stefek4n = 6Stefek took 4 of 6
S5Nohejl2Stefek2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricNohejlStefekN − SBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match41.639.2+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 164 vs 552 / 114756.7%48.1%93 / 164 vs 552 / 1147Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.40/Stefek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 15 · 12:00V. Nohejl—8111011113M. Stefek—11612492
WMay 31 · 15:00V. Nohejl—1111163M. Stefek—76140
WMay 29 · 18:00V. Nohejl—11114113M. Stefek—781111
LMay 17 · 15:30V. Nohejl—1161191M. Stefek—51113113
LMay 2 · 17:30V. Nohejl—111161092M. Stefek—771112113
LMay 2 · 15:00V. Nohejl—7980M. Stefek—1111113
WApr 25 · 11:00V. Nohejl—911118113M. Stefek—11781162
LApr 14 · 19:00V. Nohejl—1111101162M. Stefek—991213113
V. Nohejl10
LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111LAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl1.53111151182J. Didi2.38813118113LAug 16 · 06:30M. Tacinec2.63118128113V. Nohejl1.44911101192WAug 15 · 13:30V. Nohejl1.44119118113M. Stefek2.6371171182WAug 15 · 11:30J. Didi1.8311814552V. Nohejl1.839111211113
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LAug 15 · 13:30V. Nohejl1.44119118113M. Stefek2.6371171182
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.