Robin Pacha vs Denis Hofman 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13077835

Played Sep 5Finished

Robin Pacha

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

115115811116––

Denis Hofman

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%

Graded at full time

Robin Pacha to win

56.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingRobin Pacha above · Denis Hofman below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 68 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Robin Pacha at 56.2%

68 points played in total.

H2H Robin Pacha 11–11 Denis Hofman Dead even across their 22 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 14:47

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Pacha

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

11-11 in 22

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Pacha 1614 vs Hofman 1690

Hofman

Wrong

both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pacha 60% vs Hofman 80%

Hofman

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pacha 40% vs Hofman 70%

Hofman

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Pacha +1 · Hofman -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pacha)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hofman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPacha 1.67 / Hofman 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Pacha)+0.4pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13077835

Pacha1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite66% won 46 of 70

Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31

Hofman2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog47% won 111 of 235

Down 0–1, comes back27% 35 of 128

Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 62

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePacha6wins

AwayHofman4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderPacha leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePacha100%6 of 6

AwayHofman100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pacha6Hofman4n = 10Pacha took 6 of 10

S2Pacha6Hofman4n = 10Pacha took 6 of 10

S3Pacha5Hofman5n = 10split evenly

S4Pacha6Hofman2n = 8Pacha took 6 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricPachaHofmanP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.936.3+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPachaHofmanBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 331 vs 456 / 94855.3%48.1%183 / 331 vs 456 / 948Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pacha

Pacha 1.67/Hofman 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.2%

Pacha · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Pacha won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 9 · 19:30R. Pacha—77100D. Hofman—1111123

LJul 11 · 23:30R. Pacha—311831D. Hofman—11811113

WApr 4 · 19:00R. Pacha—11611113D. Hofman—811991

WApr 3 · 20:58R. Pacha—1111113D. Hofman—9740

WApr 3 · 20:00R. Pacha—11118113D. Hofman—741191

WMar 7 · 20:00R. Pacha—111310113D. Hofman—7111281

WFeb 20 · 19:00R. Pacha—11511133D. Hofman—7115111

LFeb 7 · 20:30R. Pacha—511111182D. Hofman—118913113

LJan 23 · 20:00R. Pacha—71181172D. Hofman—114119113

WJan 6 · 21:00R. Pacha—11912103D. Hofman—7111021

R. Pacha10

LSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780 WSep 5 · 19:00R. Pacha1.671111113K. Schopf2.107580 LSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691 WAug 29 · 20:59R. Pacha1.5311119113M. Sobisek2.38761191 LAug 29 · 20:00R. Pacha1.6711116882M. Sychra2.10761111113 WAug 29 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.75155981R. Pacha1.40131111113 LAug 29 · 18:00R. Pacha1.67149591V. Vejvoda2.10121111113 WAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113 LAug 23 · 20:00M. Skakal2.251111113R. Pacha1.574950 LAug 23 · 19:00M. Wagner1.83141414143R. Pacha1.83121612121

D. Hofman10

WSep 5 · 20:59D. Hofman1.671011117113K. Schopf2.1012871192 LSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123 WSep 5 · 18:30K. Schopf1.913390D. Hofman1.801111113 WSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192 WSep 5 · 16:30M. Pikous2.0081270D. Hofman1.731114113 WSep 5 · 15:30D. Hofman2.0011117113M. Sychra1.73641141 LSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781 WSep 4 · 17:33M. Pikous2.05111081182D. Hofman1.65412113113 LSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881 WSep 4 · 15:00M. Pikous2.00611121162D. Hofman1.73115148113

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