TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036545
Played Aug 29Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1513511911811––
Robin Pacha
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRobin Pacha to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Robin Pacha below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Robin Pacha at 54.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 4–6 Robin Pacha Martin Sobisek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:51What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Pacha
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1630 vs Pacha 1579
Sobisek
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 0% vs Pacha 20%
Pacha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 30% vs Pacha 10%
Sobisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek -5 · Pacha -1
Sobisek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Pacha) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pacha form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 2.75 / Pacha 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Pacha)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036545
Sobisek2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 135 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back26% 49 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 114
Pacha1.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite69% won 50 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek4wins
AwayPacha6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPacha leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek66.7%4 of 6
AwayPacha100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek6Pacha4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S2Sobisek4Pacha6n = 10Pacha took 6 of 10
S3Sobisek5Pacha5n = 10split evenly
S4Sobisek3Pacha5n = 8Pacha took 5 of 8
S5Sobisek1Pacha2n = 3Pacha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekPachaS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.339.0−2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekPachaBasisWin rate · lifetime561 / 1179 vs 181 / 33147.6%54.7%561 / 1179 vs 181 / 331Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PachaSobisek 2.75/Pacha 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Pacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LNov 2 · 22:30M. Sobisek—541161R. Pacha—11115113
WNov 2 · 21:00M. Sobisek—11812113R. Pacha—9111091
LJul 5 · 07:00M. Sobisek—11511942R. Pacha—711811113
WMar 23 · 14:30M. Sobisek—1113113R. Pacha—71160
LMar 23 · 12:00M. Sobisek—81111872R. Pacha—119611113
LMar 16 · 22:30M. Sobisek—8650R. Pacha—1111113
WMar 16 · 20:30M. Sobisek—12117113R. Pacha—1071181
LJan 20 · 01:30M. Sobisek—1110861R. Pacha—61211113
LJan 12 · 20:30M. Sobisek—8113101R. Pacha—11511123
WJan 5 · 20:30M. Sobisek—118612113R. Pacha—411111092
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271
R. Pacha10
LSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161WSep 5 · 19:00R. Pacha1.671111113K. Schopf2.107580LSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691WAug 29 · 20:59R. Pacha1.5311119113M. Sobisek2.38761191LAug 29 · 20:00R. Pacha1.6711116882M. Sychra2.10761111113LAug 29 · 18:00R. Pacha1.67149591V. Vejvoda2.10121111113WAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:00M. Skakal2.251111113R. Pacha1.574950LAug 23 · 19:00M. Wagner1.83141414143R. Pacha1.83121612121
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