TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12480328
Played Aug 23Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412141614121412––
Robin Pacha
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRobin Pacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Robin Pacha below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 108 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Robin Pacha at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:39What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1692 vs Pacha 1596
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 80% vs Pacha 0%
Wagner
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 70% vs Pacha 10%
Wagner
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +4 · Pacha -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pacha form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.83 / Pacha 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12480328
Wagner1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Pacha1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerPachaBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 115 vs 184 / 33453.9%55.1%62 / 115 vs 184 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.83/Pacha 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wagner won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123
R. Pacha10
LSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161WSep 5 · 19:00R. Pacha1.671111113K. Schopf2.107580LSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691WAug 29 · 20:59R. Pacha1.5311119113M. Sobisek2.38761191LAug 29 · 20:00R. Pacha1.6711116882M. Sychra2.10761111113WAug 29 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.75155981R. Pacha1.40131111113LAug 29 · 18:00R. Pacha1.67149591V. Vejvoda2.10121111113WAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:00M. Skakal2.251111113R. Pacha1.574950
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