TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12474815
Played Aug 22Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113911––––
Petr Zmuda
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11
60 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 9–10 Petr Zmuda Daniel Tuma has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zmuda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.20 / Zmuda 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zmuda)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12474815
Tuma2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 159 of 364
Down 0–1, comes back26% 52 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 106
Zmuda1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 54 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma6wins
AwayZmuda4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma75%6 of 8
AwayZmudan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma8Zmuda2n = 10Tuma took 8 of 10
S2Tuma3Zmuda7n = 10Zmuda took 7 of 10
S3Tuma6Zmuda4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Tuma3Zmuda5n = 8Zmuda took 5 of 8
S5Tuma2Zmuda1n = 3Tuma took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaZmudaT − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.8+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime769 / 1481 vs 171 / 30551.9%56.1%769 / 1481 vs 171 / 305Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaTuma 2.20/Zmuda 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 07:30D. Tuma—11116123P. Zmuda—6511101
LAug 10 · 22:00D. Tuma—611100P. Zmuda—1113123
WAug 1 · 18:00D. Tuma—1111123P. Zmuda—85100
WAug 1 · 02:58D. Tuma—11811133P. Zmuda—4119111
WAug 1 · 24:00D. Tuma—11511113P. Zmuda—811581
LJul 28 · 08:58D. Tuma—119111372P. Zmuda—411915113
LJul 28 · 07:30D. Tuma—791151P. Zmuda—11113113
LJul 27 · 01:30D. Tuma—1451171P. Zmuda—121113113
WJul 24 · 22:00D. Tuma—1111108113P. Zmuda—87121172
WDec 6 · 21:59D. Tuma—117116103P. Zmuda—31181192
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152
P. Zmuda10
LAug 23 · 20:59M. Chlebecek1.9111119113P. Zmuda1.80941151LAug 23 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91911781M. Chlebecek1.8011411113LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.001111113P. Zmuda1.738360LAug 23 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.209860T. Janata1.611111113LAug 22 · 08:00P. Zmuda1.6767111162J. Stolfa2.10111178113LAug 22 · 07:30D. Tuma1.9111116123P. Zmuda1.806511101LAug 22 · 06:00P. Zmuda1.80118771R. Pavelka1.9151111113LAug 12 · 17:28T. Janata1.8011129113P. Zmuda1.904101191WAug 12 · 16:00T. Janata1.8011911772P. Zmuda1.91911811113WAug 12 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.1071171242P. Zmuda1.671181110113
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