TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030322
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1176111181311––
Vladimir Cermak
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 78 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 64.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 24–7 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Cermak has won 7 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-7 in 31
Hradecky
Correct
gap of 17 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1640 vs Cermak 1595
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 80% vs Cermak 20%
Hradecky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 50% vs Cermak 30%
Hradecky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky -1 · Cermak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cermak form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.50 / Cermak 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Hradecky)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030322
Hradecky1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 82 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Cermak2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 96 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky7wins
AwayCermak3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky83.3%5 of 6
AwayCermak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky6Cermak4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S2Hradecky6Cermak4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky6Cermak4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S4Hradecky5Cermak4n = 9Hradecky took 5 of 9
S5Hradecky3Cermak2n = 5Hradecky took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyCermakH − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.838.1+5.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 478 vs 545 / 105752.5%51.6%251 / 478 vs 545 / 1057Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.50/Cermak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 18:30J. Hradecky—101111123V. Cermak—1277101
WAug 20 · 07:00J. Hradecky—121168113V. Cermak—103111172
LAug 13 · 02:00J. Hradecky—85111192V. Cermak—111179113
LJun 30 · 24:30J. Hradecky—7812101V. Cermak—111110123
LJun 28 · 13:30J. Hradecky—11971382V. Cermak—9111111113
WJun 28 · 11:30J. Hradecky—111199113V. Cermak—23111172
WJun 28 · 07:00J. Hradecky—111011113V. Cermak—412381
WJun 19 · 08:30J. Hradecky—111137113V. Cermak—44111152
WJun 17 · 01:00J. Hradecky—91311143V. Cermak—11119121
WJun 2 · 03:30J. Hradecky—1111113V. Cermak—7290
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133
V. Cermak10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113LSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LAug 28 · 13:00V. Vejvoda2.38671113113V. Cermak1.53111181192
Upcoming Matches
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