TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077865
Played Sep 5Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911117119––
Richard Wagner
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 5–2 Richard Wagner Richard Wagner has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Sychra
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1656 vs Wagner 1687
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Wagner 60%
Wagner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 60% vs Wagner 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -1 · Wagner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.73 / Wagner 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sychra)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077865
Sychra1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 251 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it93% 113 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 175 of 218
Wagner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 30 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSychra5wins
AwayWagner2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSychra leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra80%4 of 5
AwayWagnern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra5Wagner2n = 7Sychra took 5 of 7
S2Sychra5Wagner2n = 7Sychra took 5 of 7
S3Sychra4Wagner3n = 7Sychra took 4 of 7
S4Sychra3Wagner1n = 4Sychra took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSychraWagnerS − WBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.735.1+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1513 vs 95 / 18153.1%52.5%803 / 1513 vs 95 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.73/Wagner 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 18 · 15:00M. Sychra—1111123R. Wagner—94100
WAug 18 · 10:30M. Sychra—1411314133R. Wagner—12131112112
LAug 8 · 11:30M. Sychra—6118101R. Wagner—11411123
LAug 8 · 09:00M. Sychra—11951182R. Wagner—711114113
WAug 8 · 06:30M. Sychra—1111113R. Wagner—8890
WJul 3 · 11:00M. Sychra—1311123R. Wagner—116100
WJul 3 · 07:30M. Sychra—81111113R. Wagner—116761
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192
R. Wagner10
WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452LSep 4 · 12:00V. Vejvoda2.50111013113R. Wagner1.508121151WSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113
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