TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077941
Played Sep 5Finished
Richard Wagner
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
51111716141210––
Karel Schopf
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeRichard Wagner to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 86 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Richard Wagner at 62.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Richard Wagner 2–0 Karel Schopf Karel Schopf has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1687 vs Schopf 1575
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 40% vs Schopf 20%
Wagner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 50% vs Schopf 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +2 · Schopf -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.50 / Schopf 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Wagner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077941
Wagner1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 61 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 46 of 59
Schopf2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWagner2wins
AwaySchopf0wins
Wagner leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWagnerSchopfW − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.529.5+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 181 vs 225 / 44652.5%50.5%95 / 181 vs 225 / 446Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.50/Schopf 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner—51116123K. Schopf—11714101
WJul 22 · 16:30R. Wagner—1111113K. Schopf—7730
R. Wagner10
WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452LSep 4 · 12:00V. Vejvoda2.50111013113R. Wagner1.508121151WSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113
K. Schopf10
LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142WSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100LSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113
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