TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070732
Played Sep 4Finished
Viktor Vejvoda
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11810121311115––
Richard Wagner
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeRichard Wagner to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 81 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Richard Wagner at 58.6%
81 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 1–7 Richard Wagner Viktor Vejvoda has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Wagner
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1851 vs Wagner 1738
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 80% vs Wagner 60%
Vejvoda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 90% vs Wagner 50%
Vejvoda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda -1 · Wagner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 2.50 / Wagner 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Wagner)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13070732
Vejvoda2.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 103 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back12% 10 of 82
Wagner1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 57 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVejvoda1wins
AwayWagner7wins
2 of 8 to a deciderWagner leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvodan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayWagner100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda1Wagner7n = 8Wagner took 7 of 8
S2Vejvoda2Wagner6n = 8Wagner took 6 of 8
S3Vejvoda7Wagner1n = 8Vejvoda took 7 of 8
S4Vejvoda2Wagner6n = 8Wagner took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away563%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricVejvodaWagnerV − WBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match36.041.6−5.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime459 / 876 vs 90 / 17252.4%52.3%459 / 876 vs 90 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerVejvoda 2.50/Wagner 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 28 · 20:30V. Vejvoda—851181R. Wagner—11118113
LJul 28 · 16:30V. Vejvoda—611991R. Wagner—11911113
LJul 25 · 17:00V. Vejvoda—8711171R. Wagner—11118193
LJul 25 · 15:30V. Vejvoda—881141R. Wagner—11119113
LJul 25 · 12:00V. Vejvoda—46111132R. Wagner—111165113
LJul 22 · 14:30V. Vejvoda—4711101R. Wagner—11115123
LJul 22 · 12:30V. Vejvoda—41111872R. Wagner—113911113
WJul 18 · 20:30V. Vejvoda—11611113R. Wagner—911921
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171
R. Wagner10
WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452WSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113
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