TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087525
Played Sep 6Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210114––––
Petr Saleny
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 55 set 3, 11-4
55 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 15–10 Petr Saleny Petr Saleny has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.53 / Saleny 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Louda)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087525
Louda1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 196 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it87% 88 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it73% 139 of 190
Saleny2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 28 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda6wins
AwaySaleny4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda83.3%5 of 6
AwaySaleny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda6Saleny4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Louda7Saleny3n = 10Louda took 7 of 10
S3Louda4Saleny6n = 10Saleny took 6 of 10
S4Louda2Saleny4n = 6Saleny took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaSalenyL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.935.1+0.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime610 / 1203 vs 209 / 41950.7%49.9%610 / 1203 vs 209 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.53/Saleny 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda—1312113P. Saleny—111070
LSep 4 · 09:30J. Louda—712481P. Saleny—111011113
LSep 4 · 07:00J. Louda—1011661P. Saleny—12811113
WJul 8 · 08:30J. Louda—12119113P. Saleny—1091141
LJul 4 · 08:30J. Louda—2280P. Saleny—1111113
WJul 2 · 07:00J. Louda—14111211113P. Saleny—16914482
WApr 17 · 07:00J. Louda—116118113P. Saleny—71151182
LApr 13 · 20:00J. Louda—1145121P. Saleny—61111143
WApr 6 · 21:00J. Louda—1111113P. Saleny—9620
WApr 6 · 19:00J. Louda—1111113P. Saleny—5860
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481WSep 4 · 08:30J. Louda1.91131011123R. Wagner1.8011129101
P. Saleny10
LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452WSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481
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