TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064325
Played Sep 3Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
31111810121412117
Vlastimil Kolar
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVlastimil Kolar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Vlastimil Kolar below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 99 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vlastimil Kolar at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 2–4 Vlastimil Kolar Martin Sychra has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:08What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Kolar
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1706 vs Kolar 1651
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 60% vs Kolar 0%
Sychra
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 50% vs Kolar 30%
Sychra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +2 · Kolar -5
Kolar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.00 / Kolar 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolar)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064325
Sychra2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 179 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back25% 48 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 111
Kolar1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 30 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSychra2wins
AwayKolar4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderKolar leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra50%2 of 4
AwayKolarn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Kolar2n = 6Sychra took 4 of 6
S2Sychra3Kolar3n = 6split evenly
S3Sychra1Kolar5n = 6Kolar took 5 of 6
S4Sychra2Kolar2n = 4split evenly
S5Sychra1Kolar2n = 3Kolar took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSychraKolarS − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match36.840.5−3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1517 vs 93 / 18152.8%51.4%801 / 1517 vs 93 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolarSychra 2.00/Kolar 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJun 26 · 20:30M. Sychra—1111113V. Kolar—7480
LJun 26 · 17:30M. Sychra—1110791V. Kolar—71211113
WJun 26 · 14:30M. Sychra—111177113V. Kolar—67111182
LMar 31 · 14:30M. Sychra—12571552V. Kolar—10111113113
LFeb 23 · 14:30M. Sychra—3530V. Kolar—1111113
LFeb 23 · 13:30M. Sychra—101291172V. Kolar—1210117113
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192
V. Kolar10
WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492LSep 1 · 20:30O. Svacha1.911111113V. Kolar1.805990LSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
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