TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098003
Played Sep 8Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811116115118––
Milan Klement
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8
71 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 22–31 Milan Klement Sebastian Kasnik has won 22 of their 53 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kasnik beat Klement 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Klement)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.25 / Klement 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Klement)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098003
Kasnik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 122 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 94
Klement1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 115 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it73% 87 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik3wins
AwayKlement7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKlement leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik50%3 of 6
AwayKlement100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik6Klement4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Kasnik5Klement5n = 10split evenly
S3Kasnik4Klement6n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S4Kasnik3Klement6n = 9Klement took 6 of 9
S5Kasnik1Klement4n = 5Klement took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikKlementKasnik − KlementBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.544.0−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 1008 vs 457 / 88447.6%51.7%480 / 1008 vs 457 / 884Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKasnik 2.25/Klement 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 08:00S. Kasnik—11912133M. Klement—31110111
LSep 3 · 08:00S. Kasnik—101161192M. Klement—127119113
LSep 2 · 24:30S. Kasnik—111110762M. Klement—591211113
LAug 26 · 07:00S. Kasnik—11117552M. Klement—991111113
LAug 24 · 08:00S. Kasnik—7520M. Klement—1111113
LAug 20 · 10:00S. Kasnik—841121M. Klement—11118113
LJun 29 · 10:30S. Kasnik—81012121M. Klement—111210143
WJun 3 · 11:30S. Kasnik—151178113M. Klement—138111182
WMay 29 · 02:58S. Kasnik—11116113M. Klement—791161
LMay 29 · 24:30S. Kasnik—115111192M. Klement—911713113
S. Kasnik10
WSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182WSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement1.6131110111S. Kasnik2.2011912133WSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113WSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872
M. Klement10
LSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement1.6131110111S. Kasnik2.2011912133WSep 8 · 07:30K. Schopf2.635580M. Klement1.441111113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152
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