TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092482
Played Sep 8Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911112116811811
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Kasnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Sebastian Kasnik at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 14–16 Sebastian Kasnik Martin Sychra has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kasnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Kasnik
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1647 vs Kasnik 1637
Sychra
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 60% vs Kasnik 40%
Sychra
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 50% vs Kasnik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -2 · Kasnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kasnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.00 / Kasnik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kasnik)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092482
Sychra2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 182 of 370
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 108
Kasnik1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 113 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it92% 66 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it72% 91 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra3wins
AwayKasnik7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKasnik leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychran = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKasnik77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra1Kasnik9n = 10Kasnik took 9 of 10
S2Sychra5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Sychra4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S4Sychra3Kasnik4n = 7Kasnik took 4 of 7
S5Sychra3Kasnik3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraKasnikS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.442.3−3.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1511 vs 479 / 100753%47.6%801 / 1511 vs 479 / 1007Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasnikSychra 2.00/Kasnik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Kasnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra—91111882S. Kasnik—112611113
LSep 1 · 22:30M. Sychra—3960S. Kasnik—1111113
WAug 26 · 12:30M. Sychra—4111314113S. Kasnik—119111682
LAug 26 · 09:29M. Sychra—8880S. Kasnik—1111113
LAug 26 · 08:30M. Sychra—21391172S. Kasnik—1111119113
LAug 21 · 24:30M. Sychra—1041161S. Kasnik—12116113
LAug 19 · 21:58M. Sychra—9980S. Kasnik—1111113
WAug 18 · 16:00M. Sychra—118117113S. Kasnik—91191172
WAug 17 · 02:58M. Sychra—7111011113S. Kasnik—11312572
LAug 16 · 23:00M. Sychra—911411102S. Kasnik—119117123
M. Sychra10
LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680
S. Kasnik10
WSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113
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