TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092481
Played Sep 8Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111171513611114
Karel Schopf
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Schopf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 96 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Karel Schopf at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 13–25 Karel Schopf Martin Sychra has won 13 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Schopf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-25 in 38
Schopf
Wrong
gap of 12 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1647 vs Schopf 1509
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Schopf 0%
Sychra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 50% vs Schopf 10%
Sychra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -3 · Schopf -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.91 / Schopf 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sychra)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092481
Sychra1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 182 of 370
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 108
Schopf1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite62% won 48 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra5wins
AwaySchopf5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra80%4 of 5
AwaySchopf80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra5Schopf5n = 10split evenly
S2Sychra6Schopf4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S3Sychra4Schopf6n = 10Schopf took 6 of 10
S4Sychra3Schopf3n = 6split evenly
S5Sychra2Schopf2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraSchopfSychra − SchopfBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.1−1.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1511 vs 229 / 46253%49.6%801 / 1511 vs 229 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.91/Schopf 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra—1111123K. Schopf—98100
WSep 6 · 01:30M. Sychra—1211113K. Schopf—10690
LAug 5 · 02:58M. Sychra—9111181K. Schopf—11913113
LAug 4 · 23:00M. Sychra—51090K. Schopf—1112113
WAug 4 · 13:30M. Sychra—111112113K. Schopf—671471
LAug 4 · 10:30M. Sychra—51211562K. Schopf—1110711113
WAug 4 · 06:30M. Sychra—671113113K. Schopf—111181182
LJun 23 · 22:00M. Sychra—61180K. Schopf—1113113
WJun 5 · 19:00M. Sychra—1111105113K. Schopf—29121192
LApr 27 · 01:30M. Sychra—111081142K. Schopf—712119113
M. Sychra10
LSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531LSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113LSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113
K. Schopf10
LSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182WSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113LSep 8 · 07:30K. Schopf2.635580M. Klement1.441111113LSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620
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