TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092903
Played Sep 8Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811115113––
Martin Sychra
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:37 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 68 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 61.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 2–5 Martin Sychra Frantisek Pusch has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pusch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Sychra
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1741 vs Sychra 1640
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 80% vs Sychra 20%
Pusch
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 80% vs Sychra 50%
Pusch
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +2 · Sychra -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.50 / Sychra 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pusch)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092903
Pusch1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 25 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Sychra2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 182 of 370
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePusch2wins
AwaySychra5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSychra leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePusch66.7%2 of 3
AwaySychra100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pusch3Sychra4n = 7Sychra took 4 of 7
S2Pusch2Sychra5n = 7Sychra took 5 of 7
S3Pusch5Sychra2n = 7Pusch took 5 of 7
S4Pusch2Sychra2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricPuschSychraP − SBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.938.3−1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 120 vs 802 / 151353.3%53%64 / 120 vs 802 / 1513Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.50/Sychra 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch—1211113M. Sychra—10570
LApr 12 · 09:00F. Pusch—6980M. Sychra—1111113
LApr 12 · 07:00F. Pusch—871181M. Sychra—11117113
LMar 6 · 11:00F. Pusch—96131252M. Sychra—11111110113
LFeb 23 · 12:00F. Pusch—119411122M. Sychra—911115143
LFeb 22 · 19:30F. Pusch—9811111M. Sychra—11118133
WFeb 22 · 16:00F. Pusch—1411113M. Sychra—12680
F. Pusch10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Ruzicka1.73117811122F. Pusch2.00611116143WSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.0041191272F. Pusch1.731161110113WSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.7351111262F. Pusch2.00117811113WSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560LSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch2.009070J. Ruzicka1.731111113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klimenta1.441315107142F. Pusch2.6311131211163WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113
M. Sychra10
LSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113LSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113WSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142LSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062LAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130LAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113
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