TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092960
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1167118111161214
Frantisek Pusch
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Frantisek Pusch below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 97 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 1–1 Frantisek Pusch Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 3h before this match
Pusch beat Ruzicka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1700 vs Pusch 1758
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Pusch 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 50% vs Pusch 90%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +2 · Pusch +4
Pusch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.73 / Pusch 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pusch)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092960
Ruzicka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 181 of 319
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it75% 130 of 174
Pusch2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 27 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back33% 11 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRuzicka1wins
AwayPusch1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRuzickaPuschR − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.032.0+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaPuschBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1386 vs 66 / 12248.4%54.1%671 / 1386 vs 66 / 122Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschRuzicka 1.73/Pusch 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka—51111262F. Pusch—117811113
WSep 8 · 07:00J. Ruzicka—1111113F. Pusch—9070
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Ruzicka1.44911114113R. Urbaniec2.6311671172LSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.7351111262F. Pusch2.00117811113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Klimenta1.801311941J. Ruzicka1.91111311113WSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch2.009070J. Ruzicka1.731111113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.4091181172R. Urbaniec2.75119115113WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361
F. Pusch10
WSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.0041191272F. Pusch1.731161110113WSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531WSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.7351111262F. Pusch2.00117811113WSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560LSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch2.009070J. Ruzicka1.731111113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klimenta1.441315107142F. Pusch2.6311131211163WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
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