TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092486
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119811115711
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 66.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 40–25 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 25 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-25 in 65
Ruzicka
Wrong
gap of 15 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1683 vs Urbaniec 1716
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 40% vs Urbaniec 60%
Urbaniec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 20% vs Urbaniec 60%
Urbaniec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +1 · Urbaniec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.40 / Urbaniec 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Ruzicka)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092486
Ruzicka1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 181 of 319
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it75% 130 of 174
Urbaniec2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 189 of 464
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 261
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka7wins
AwayUrbaniec3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka85.7%6 of 7
AwayUrbaniec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka7Urbaniec3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka9Urbaniec1n = 10Ruzicka took 9 of 10
S3Ruzicka6Urbaniec4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka3Urbaniec1n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
S5Ruzicka1Urbaniec2n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaUrbaniecR − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.132.3+5.8per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime668 / 1382 vs 611 / 119848.3%51%668 / 1382 vs 611 / 1198Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.40/Urbaniec 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka—91181172R. Urbaniec—119115113
WAug 29 · 12:30J. Ruzicka—1111113R. Urbaniec—6890
WAug 29 · 09:00J. Ruzicka—911411113R. Urbaniec—11411962
WAug 29 · 08:30J. Ruzicka—1111143R. Urbaniec—76120
WAug 28 · 24:00J. Ruzicka—1114113R. Urbaniec—71280
LAug 19 · 22:30J. Ruzicka—5111181R. Urbaniec—11713113
WAug 18 · 23:00J. Ruzicka—1111113R. Urbaniec—9770
LAug 15 · 22:30J. Ruzicka—11981292R. Urbaniec—9111110113
WAug 14 · 24:30J. Ruzicka—1111113R. Urbaniec—6760
WAug 6 · 24:30J. Ruzicka—1211113R. Urbaniec—10680
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch2.009070J. Ruzicka1.731111113WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 8 · 07:30R. Urbaniec4.00111110113M. Klimenta1.22791241LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660
Upcoming Matches
J. Ruzicka
R. Urbaniec1 of 4 neutral
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