TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092488
Played Sep 8Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911011711––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 0-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 49 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.4%
49 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 0–1 Jiri Ruzicka Frantisek Pusch has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1707 vs Ruzicka 1683
Pusch
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 100% vs Ruzicka 20%
Pusch
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 80% vs Ruzicka 20%
Pusch
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +5 · Ruzicka -1
Pusch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 2.00 / Ruzicka 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092488
Pusch2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 27 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back33% 11 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Ruzicka1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 181 of 319
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it75% 130 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePusch0wins
AwayRuzicka1wins
Ruzicka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPuschRuzickaP − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match16.033.0−17.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 118 vs 668 / 138252.5%48.3%62 / 118 vs 668 / 1382Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 2.00/Ruzicka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch—9070J. Ruzicka—1111113
F. Pusch10
WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klimenta1.441315107142F. Pusch2.6311131211163WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113LAug 18 · 13:30R. Wagner1.5011911113F. Pusch2.50911981WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch2.251211113M. Sychra1.5710570LAug 18 · 11:30R. Wagner1.5311911113F. Pusch2.38711991WAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282WAug 17 · 13:30F. Pusch1.67117116113V. Cermak2.1091171112
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.4091181172R. Urbaniec2.75119115113WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130
Upcoming Matches
F. Pusch1 of 4 neutral
J. Ruzicka
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