TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097319
Played Sep 8Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111169111210711
Frantisek Pusch
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:03 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Frantisek Pusch below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 55.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 0–1 Frantisek Pusch Radim Urbaniec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Pusch beat Urbaniec 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pusch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1702 vs Pusch 1749
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Pusch 80%
Pusch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 60% vs Pusch 80%
Pusch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Pusch +3
Pusch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.00 / Pusch 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Pusch)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097319
Urbaniec2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 189 of 464
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 261
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 144
Pusch1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 25 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUrbaniec0wins
AwayPusch1wins
Pusch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricUrbaniecPuschU − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecPuschBasisWin rate · lifetime612 / 1201 vs 65 / 12151%53.7%612 / 1201 vs 65 / 121Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschUrbaniec 2.00/Pusch 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 08:30R. Urbaniec—7560F. Pusch—1111113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172WSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 10:00J. Ruzicka1.44911114113R. Urbaniec2.6311671172WSep 8 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.5061111113M. Klimenta1.50118971LSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560WSep 8 · 07:30R. Urbaniec4.00111110113M. Klimenta1.22791241WSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.4091181172R. Urbaniec2.75119115113LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781
F. Pusch10
WSep 9 · 12:30F. Pusch1.6711111115123V. Vejvoda2.10138417102LSep 9 · 11:00F. Pusch2.0031260R. Wagner1.731114113WSep 9 · 10:00P. Saleny2.001111371F. Pusch1.7313911113LSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.9110360F. Pusch1.801211113LSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113WSep 8 · 13:30F. Pusch1.801111113J. Ruzicka1.804870WSep 8 · 12:00J. Ruzicka1.73117811122F. Pusch2.00611116143WSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531WSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec1 of 7 neutral
F. Pusch
Nothing scheduled
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