TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103277
Played Sep 9Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111182018119––
Frantisek Pusch
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Frantisek Pusch below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 20-18
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 93 set 4, 11-9
93 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 1–0 Frantisek Pusch Frantisek Pusch has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Saleny beat Pusch 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 1.73 / Pusch 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pusch)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103277
Saleny1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 62 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it84% 47 of 56
Pusch2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog53% won 31 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back36% 13 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSaleny1wins
AwayPusch0wins
Saleny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSalenyPuschS − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.033.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyPuschBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 411 vs 70 / 12750.9%55.1%209 / 411 vs 70 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschSaleny 1.73/Pusch 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 06:30P. Saleny—11114113F. Pusch—591181
P. Saleny10
WSep 9 · 08:30R. Wagner1.611110551P. Saleny2.2061211113WSep 9 · 07:30P. Saleny2.381111113V. Vejvoda1.535870WSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113
F. Pusch10
WSep 9 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.9110360F. Pusch1.801211113WSep 9 · 07:00R. Wagner1.735890F. Pusch2.001111113LSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113WSep 8 · 13:30F. Pusch1.801111113J. Ruzicka1.804870WSep 8 · 12:00J. Ruzicka1.73117811122F. Pusch2.00611116143WSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.0041191272F. Pusch1.731161110113WSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531WSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.7351111262F. Pusch2.00117811113WSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560LSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch2.009070J. Ruzicka1.731111113
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