TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098747
Played Sep 9Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 64.4%
53 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 12–19 Viktor Vejvoda Petr Saleny has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-19 in 31
Vejvoda
Wrong
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1637 vs Vejvoda 1770
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 20% vs Vejvoda 40%
Vejvoda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 20% vs Vejvoda 50%
Vejvoda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny +1 · Vejvoda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 2.38 / Vejvoda 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vejvoda)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098747
Saleny2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 28 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Vejvoda1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 179 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it93% 87 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it83% 119 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny2wins
AwayVejvoda8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaleny33.3%1 of 3
AwayVejvoda85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny3Vejvoda7n = 10Vejvoda took 7 of 10
S2Saleny2Vejvoda8n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10
S3Saleny6Vejvoda4n = 10Saleny took 6 of 10
S4Saleny1Vejvoda6n = 7Vejvoda took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyVejvodaS − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.139.7−7.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 412 vs 462 / 88550.7%52.2%209 / 412 vs 462 / 885Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaSaleny 2.38/Vejvoda 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 07:30P. Saleny—1111113V. Vejvoda—5870
LSep 6 · 06:00P. Saleny—5101151V. Vejvoda—11127113
LSep 4 · 10:00P. Saleny—761151V. Vejvoda—11119113
LJul 9 · 12:30P. Saleny—211761V. Vejvoda—11711113
LJul 9 · 08:59P. Saleny—117691V. Vejvoda—81111113
LJul 9 · 08:30P. Saleny—3760V. Vejvoda—1111113
WJul 1 · 09:30P. Saleny—1091115123V. Vejvoda—1211613102
LJul 1 · 07:00P. Saleny—11511582V. Vejvoda—811711113
LMar 20 · 17:30P. Saleny—991641V. Vejvoda—111114113
LMar 13 · 14:30P. Saleny—9540V. Vejvoda—1111113
P. Saleny10
WSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452
V. Vejvoda10
LSep 9 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.20791481R. Wagner1.61111112113WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151
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