TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098123
Played Sep 9Finished
Viktor Vejvoda
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7119111412811––
Richard Wagner
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeRichard Wagner to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Richard Wagner at 65.2%
83 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 2–9 Richard Wagner Viktor Vejvoda has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Wagner
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1792 vs Wagner 1723
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 60% vs Wagner 80%
Wagner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 50% vs Wagner 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda +1 · Wagner +4
Wagner
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 2.20 / Wagner 1.61
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Wagner)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098123
Vejvoda2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 99 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 83
Wagner1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVejvoda1wins
AwayWagner9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWagner leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvodan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayWagner100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda1Wagner9n = 10Wagner took 9 of 10
S2Vejvoda3Wagner7n = 10Wagner took 7 of 10
S3Vejvoda8Wagner2n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10
S4Vejvoda2Wagner8n = 10Wagner took 8 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVejvodaWagnerV − WBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.643.5−5.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 884 vs 97 / 18352.3%53%462 / 884 vs 97 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerVejvoda 2.20/Wagner 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:00V. Vejvoda—791481R. Wagner—111112113
WSep 4 · 12:00V. Vejvoda—111013113R. Wagner—8121151
LAug 1 · 19:00V. Vejvoda—9161451R. Wagner—111416113
LJul 28 · 20:30V. Vejvoda—851181R. Wagner—11118113
LJul 28 · 16:30V. Vejvoda—611991R. Wagner—11911113
LJul 25 · 17:00V. Vejvoda—8711171R. Wagner—11118193
LJul 25 · 15:30V. Vejvoda—881141R. Wagner—11119113
LJul 25 · 12:00V. Vejvoda—46111132R. Wagner—111165113
LJul 22 · 14:30V. Vejvoda—4711101R. Wagner—11115123
LJul 22 · 12:30V. Vejvoda—41111872R. Wagner—113911113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171
R. Wagner10
WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452LSep 4 · 12:00V. Vejvoda2.50111013113R. Wagner1.508121151
Upcoming Matches
V. Vejvoda
R. Wagner
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.