TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098997
Played Sep 8Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118117––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:06 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 59.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 2–1 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
They have already met 3 times today · last one 2h before this match
Pusch beat Ruzicka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:06What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (50%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1775 vs Ruzicka 1682
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 100% vs Ruzicka 60%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 90% vs Ruzicka 50%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +5 · Ruzicka -1
Pusch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.80 / Ruzicka 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098997
Pusch1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Ruzicka1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePusch2wins
AwayRuzicka1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderPusch leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pusch1Ruzicka2n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
S2Pusch1Ruzicka2n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
S3Pusch1Ruzicka2n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPuschRuzickaP − RBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.339.0−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 123 vs 671 / 138754.5%48.4%67 / 123 vs 671 / 1387Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.80/Ruzicka 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 8 · 12:00F. Pusch—611116143J. Ruzicka—117811122
WSep 8 · 09:30F. Pusch—117811113J. Ruzicka—51111262
LSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch—9070J. Ruzicka—1111113
F. Pusch10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Ruzicka1.73117811122F. Pusch2.00611116143WSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.0041191272F. Pusch1.731161110113WSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531WSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.7351111262F. Pusch2.00117811113WSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560LSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch2.009070J. Ruzicka1.731111113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klimenta1.441315107142F. Pusch2.6311131211163WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 8 · 12:00J. Ruzicka1.73117811122F. Pusch2.00611116143WSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Ruzicka1.44911114113R. Urbaniec2.6311671172LSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.7351111262F. Pusch2.00117811113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Klimenta1.801311941J. Ruzicka1.91111311113WSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch2.009070J. Ruzicka1.731111113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.4091181172R. Urbaniec2.75119115113WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113
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