TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097846
Played Sep 8Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611118119117––
Matous Klimenta
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Matous Klimenta below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 2–4 Matous Klimenta Radim Urbaniec has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Urbaniec beat Klimenta 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:50What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Klimenta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Klimenta
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1691 vs Klimenta 1706
Klimenta
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Klimenta 20%
Urbaniec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 60% vs Klimenta 40%
Urbaniec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Klimenta -4
Klimenta
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Klimenta) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klimenta form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.50 / Klimenta 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Klimenta)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097846
Urbaniec2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 189 of 464
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 261
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 144
Klimenta1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 40 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 28 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwayKlimenta4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderKlimenta leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec66.7%2 of 3
AwayKlimenta100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec3Klimenta3n = 6split evenly
S2Urbaniec3Klimenta3n = 6split evenly
S3Urbaniec1Klimenta5n = 6Klimenta took 5 of 6
S4Urbaniec2Klimenta1n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricUrbaniecKlimentaU − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match31.534.0−2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecKlimentaBasisWin rate · lifetime611 / 1199 vs 198 / 35851%55.3%611 / 1199 vs 198 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlimentaUrbaniec 2.50/Klimenta 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Klimenta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 8 · 07:30R. Urbaniec—111110113M. Klimenta—791241
LJul 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec—5440M. Klimenta—1111113
LJun 20 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—11881172M. Klimenta—811116113
LJun 13 · 18:00R. Urbaniec—811271M. Klimenta—11411113
WMay 11 · 19:30R. Urbaniec—1111113M. Klimenta—9640
LMay 8 · 22:30R. Urbaniec—610110M. Klimenta—1112133
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560WSep 8 · 07:30R. Urbaniec4.00111110113M. Klimenta1.22791241WSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.4091181172R. Urbaniec2.75119115113LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113
M. Klimenta10
LSep 8 · 08:00M. Klimenta1.801311941J. Ruzicka1.91111311113LSep 8 · 07:30R. Urbaniec4.00111110113M. Klimenta1.22791241LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klimenta1.441315107142F. Pusch2.6311131211163LSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113LSep 3 · 06:00M. Zahradka2.20111597113M. Klimenta1.61313111182WJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652WJul 26 · 02:30M. Klimenta2.25113711113F. Wolf1.5781111792WJul 26 · 01:30J. Ruzicka1.8395130M. Klimenta1.831111153
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
M. Klimenta
Nothing scheduled
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