TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098823
Played Sep 9Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113119311711––
Frantisek Pusch
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Frantisek Pusch below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 56.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 2–0 Frantisek Pusch Frantisek Pusch has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Saleny beat Pusch 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pusch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1667 vs Pusch 1763
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 60% vs Pusch 80%
Pusch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 40% vs Pusch 80%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny +3 · Pusch +2
Saleny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pusch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 2.00 / Pusch 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Pusch)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098823
Saleny2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 28 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Pusch1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 28 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSaleny2wins
AwayPusch0wins
Saleny leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSalenyPuschS − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.039.5+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyPuschBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 412 vs 70 / 12851%54.7%210 / 412 vs 70 / 128Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschSaleny 2.00/Pusch 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny—51120113F. Pusch—1181891
WSep 9 · 06:30P. Saleny—11114113F. Pusch—591181
P. Saleny10
WSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 08:30R. Wagner1.611110551P. Saleny2.2061211113WSep 9 · 07:30P. Saleny2.381111113V. Vejvoda1.535870WSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113
F. Pusch10
LSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.9110360F. Pusch1.801211113WSep 9 · 07:00R. Wagner1.735890F. Pusch2.001111113LSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113WSep 8 · 13:30F. Pusch1.801111113J. Ruzicka1.804870WSep 8 · 12:00J. Ruzicka1.73117811122F. Pusch2.00611116143WSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.0041191272F. Pusch1.731161110113WSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531WSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.7351111262F. Pusch2.00117811113WSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560
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