TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099019
Played Sep 8Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911115116811117
Martin Sychra
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7
90 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 2–0 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Urbaniec beat Sychra 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.28 / Sychra 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Urbaniec)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099019
Urbaniec1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 201 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it92% 100 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it76% 136 of 178
Sychra3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog49% won 182 of 370
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwaySychra0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricUrbaniecSychraU − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.035.5+8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 1203 vs 802 / 151651%52.9%613 / 1203 vs 802 / 1516Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.28/Sychra 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 11 · 24:00R. Urbaniec—111157113M. Sychra—59111162
WJun 20 · 22:00R. Urbaniec—111110113M. Sychra—771231
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.0041191272F. Pusch1.731161110113LSep 8 · 10:00J. Ruzicka1.44911114113R. Urbaniec2.6311671172WSep 8 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.5061111113M. Klimenta1.50118971LSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560WSep 8 · 07:30R. Urbaniec4.00111110113M. Klimenta1.22791241WSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.4091181172R. Urbaniec2.75119115113LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781
M. Sychra10
LSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113LSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531LSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113WSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142LSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113
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