TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444268
Played Aug 17Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–1Last 2Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115118114––
Daniel Tuma
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJan Svoboda to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 70 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Jan Svoboda at 62.5%
70 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Svoboda 50% vs Tuma 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 50% vs Tuma 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Tuma +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.50 / Tuma 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444268
Svoboda1.50
50%won 1 of 2 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 2 of 2
Tuma2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 152 of 360
Down 0–1, comes back24% 47 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 768 / 147450%52.1%5 / 10 vs 768 / 1474Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.50/Tuma 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Svoboda10
LSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550WSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471LSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113WSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113WAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda1.803121161J. Stolfa1.91111013113LAug 30 · 06:00J. Hradecky1.531181011113J. Svoboda2.3851112792LAug 17 · 13:28M. Sobisek1.671111113J. Svoboda2.106430
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152
Upcoming Matches
J. Svoboda
D. Tuma
Nothing scheduled
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