TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052979
Played Sep 1Finished
Simon Kadavy
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119141210121210––
Karel Kapras
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:26 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeKarel Kapras to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSimon Kadavy above · Karel Kapras below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 90 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Karel Kapras at 54.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Simon Kadavy 8–8 Karel Kapras Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:26What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kapras
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1677 vs Kapras 1569
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 80% vs Kapras 40%
Kadavy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 90% vs Kapras 30%
Kadavy
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy +2 · Kapras +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kapras)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapras form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 2.00 / Kapras 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kapras)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052979
Kadavy2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 43 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 31
Kapras1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 40 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy5wins
AwayKapras5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy100%5 of 5
AwayKapras100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy5Kapras5n = 10split evenly
S2Kadavy4Kapras6n = 10Kapras took 6 of 10
S3Kadavy7Kapras3n = 10Kadavy took 7 of 10
S4Kadavy1Kapras4n = 5Kapras took 4 of 5
S5Kadavy2Kapras1n = 3Kadavy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyKaprasKadavy − KaprasBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.3−2.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyKaprasBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 526 vs 173 / 34249.2%50.6%259 / 526 vs 173 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaprasKadavy 2.00/Kapras 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Kapras · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 10 · 18:30S. Kadavy—1110147113K. Kapras—612121172
LMay 10 · 17:00S. Kadavy—52131152K. Kapras—1111117113
LMay 10 · 14:30S. Kadavy—13115101K. Kapras—15711123
LMay 3 · 16:58S. Kadavy—2860K. Kapras—1111113
WMay 3 · 15:30S. Kadavy—1211143K. Kapras—108120
WMar 12 · 20:30S. Kadavy—117119113K. Kapras—91161152
LFeb 19 · 19:30S. Kadavy—8840K. Kapras—1111113
LFeb 17 · 22:30S. Kadavy—1761141K. Kapras—19118113
WFeb 17 · 21:30S. Kadavy—1111113K. Kapras—5990
WFeb 12 · 19:00S. Kadavy—1112123K. Kapras—910100
S. Kadavy10
WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pikous1.251111113S. Kadavy3.759630WSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:30D. Hofman1.50111168113S. Kadavy2.5097111182LSep 1 · 20:58J. Stolfa1.73111616123S. Kadavy2.0081814101
K. Kapras10
LSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492LSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152WSep 1 · 19:30K. Kapras2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67119651WAug 26 · 20:59J. Hradecky1.91611671K. Kapras1.8011511113LAug 26 · 20:00K. Kapras2.259440V. Cermak1.571111113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.83691241K. Kapras1.83111110113LAug 26 · 18:30K. Kapras1.5371080M. Sobisek2.381112113LAug 25 · 21:28J. Stolfa1.674131111113K. Kapras2.10111113842LAug 25 · 20:30K. Kapras1.91671181V. Cermak1.8011119113WAug 25 · 19:00K. Kapras1.801111113M. Sobisek1.916580
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.