TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020351
Played Aug 26Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6119111210411––
Karel Kapras
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Karel Kapras below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 74 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 54.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 1–3 Karel Kapras Jakub Hradecky has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kapras
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kapras
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1659 vs Kapras 1518
Hradecky
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 20% vs Kapras 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 60% vs Kapras 30%
Hradecky
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +1 · Kapras -3
Kapras
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hradecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapras form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.83 / Kapras 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hradecky)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020351
Hradecky1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kapras1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHradecky1wins
AwayKapras3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderKapras leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky33.3%1 of 3
AwayKaprasn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky3Kapras1n = 4Hradecky took 3 of 4
S2Hradecky4Kapras0n = 4Hradecky took 4 of 4
S3Hradecky1Kapras3n = 4Kapras took 3 of 4
S4Hradecky0Kapras3n = 3Kapras took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHradeckyKaprasH − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.839.8−1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyKaprasBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 468 vs 175 / 34752.6%50.4%246 / 468 vs 175 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.83/Kapras 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kapras won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 6 · 21:28J. Hradecky—11119582K. Kapras—581111113
WAug 6 · 19:00J. Hradecky—1111113K. Kapras—4860
LDec 14 · 10:00J. Hradecky—5111091K. Kapras—11912113
LDec 14 · 07:00J. Hradecky—12119652K. Kapras—1091111113
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133
K. Kapras10
LSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492LSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152WSep 1 · 19:30K. Kapras2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67119651LSep 1 · 18:30S. Kadavy2.00111410123K. Kapras1.7391212101WAug 26 · 20:59J. Hradecky1.91611671K. Kapras1.8011511113LAug 26 · 20:00K. Kapras2.259440V. Cermak1.571111113LAug 26 · 18:30K. Kapras1.5371080M. Sobisek2.381112113LAug 25 · 21:28J. Stolfa1.674131111113K. Kapras2.10111113842LAug 25 · 20:30K. Kapras1.91671181V. Cermak1.8011119113WAug 25 · 19:00K. Kapras1.801111113M. Sobisek1.916580
Upcoming Matches
J. Hradecky
K. Kapras
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