TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052980
Played Sep 1Finished
Karel Kapras
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119116115––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:36 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKarel Kapras above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 58.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Karel Kapras 0–1 Jakub Stolfa Karel Kapras has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stolfa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kapras 1561 vs Stolfa 1677
Stolfa
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kapras 40% vs Stolfa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kapras 30% vs Stolfa 60%
Stolfa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kapras +1 · Stolfa -3
Stolfa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stolfa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapras 2.10 / Stolfa 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Stolfa)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052980
Kapras2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 14 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Stolfa1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKapras0wins
AwayStolfa1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderStolfa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKaprasStolfaK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.053.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaprasStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 343 vs 179 / 34250.4%52.3%173 / 343 vs 179 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaKapras 2.10/Stolfa 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kapras won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 25 · 18:00K. Kapras—1171210112J. Stolfa—7111012133
K. Kapras10
LSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492LSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152LSep 1 · 18:30S. Kadavy2.00111410123K. Kapras1.7391212101WAug 26 · 20:59J. Hradecky1.91611671K. Kapras1.8011511113LAug 26 · 20:00K. Kapras2.259440V. Cermak1.571111113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.83691241K. Kapras1.83111110113LAug 26 · 18:30K. Kapras1.5371080M. Sobisek2.381112113LAug 25 · 21:28J. Stolfa1.674131111113K. Kapras2.10111113842LAug 25 · 20:30K. Kapras1.91671181V. Cermak1.8011119113WAug 25 · 19:00K. Kapras1.801111113M. Sobisek1.916580
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113WAug 25 · 21:28J. Stolfa1.674131111113K. Kapras2.10111113842
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