TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051183
Played Aug 31Finished
Zdenek Zikmunda
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611116119––
Martin Ulrych
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:04 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zikmunda to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zikmunda above · Martin Ulrych below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Zdenek Zikmunda at 58.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zikmunda 2–1 Martin Ulrych Martin Ulrych has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zikmunda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zikmunda 1436 vs Ulrych 1360
Zikmunda
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zikmunda 20% vs Ulrych 40%
Ulrych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zikmunda 50% vs Ulrych 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zikmunda -4 · Ulrych +2
Zikmunda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zikmunda) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zikmunda form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZikmunda 1.57 / Ulrych 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zikmunda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051183
Zikmunda1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ulrych2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 14 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZikmunda2wins
AwayUlrych1wins
Zikmunda leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zikmunda2Ulrych1n = 3Zikmunda took 2 of 3
S2Zikmunda1Ulrych2n = 3Ulrych took 2 of 3
S3Zikmunda2Ulrych1n = 3Zikmunda took 2 of 3
S4Zikmunda2Ulrych1n = 3Zikmunda took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZikmundaUlrychZ − UBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.336.3+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikmundaUlrychBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 6 vs 86 / 14633.3%58.9%2 / 6 vs 86 / 146Avg sets wonper match1.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikmundaZikmunda 1.57/Ulrych 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Zikmunda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zikmunda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda—11611113M. Ulrych—611691
LAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda—10111071M. Ulrych—12712113
WAug 31 · 06:30Z. Zikmunda—11811113M. Ulrych—911961
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113LSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Barta1.91181161192Z. Zikmunda1.80208116113WSep 2 · 12:59Z. Drabek1.4491181172Z. Zikmunda2.63115119113LSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda2.10119651Z. Drabek1.6761111113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych1.671111143P. Kulhanek2.1068120WAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113LAug 31 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113M. Ulrych1.838670
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