TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051558
Played Aug 31Finished
Zdenek Zikmunda
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121171012711––
Martin Ulrych
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:56 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zikmunda to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Zikmunda above · Martin Ulrych below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Zdenek Zikmunda at 62.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zikmunda 1–0 Martin Ulrych Martin Ulrych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zikmunda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zikmunda 1473 vs Ulrych 1325
Zikmunda
Wrong
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zikmunda 60% vs Ulrych 20%
Zikmunda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zikmunda 60% vs Ulrych 40%
Zikmunda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zikmunda -2 · Ulrych -4
Ulrych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zikmunda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ulrych form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZikmunda 1.50 / Ulrych 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Zikmunda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051558
Zikmunda1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ulrych2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 14 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZikmunda1wins
AwayUlrych0wins
Zikmunda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZikmundaUlrychZ − UBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.035.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikmundaUlrychBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 108 vs 84 / 14345.4%58.7%49 / 108 vs 84 / 143Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikmundaZikmunda 1.50/Ulrych 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Zikmunda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ulrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 06:30Z. Zikmunda—11811113M. Ulrych—911961
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113LSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Barta1.91181161192Z. Zikmunda1.80208116113WSep 2 · 12:59Z. Drabek1.4491181172Z. Zikmunda2.63115119113LSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda2.10119651Z. Drabek1.6761111113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych1.671111143P. Kulhanek2.1068120LAug 31 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113M. Ulrych1.838670
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