TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051038
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Ulrych
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117113118––––
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:05 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Ulrych above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 59.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Martin Ulrych 0–1 Adam Svoboda Martin Ulrych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:05What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ulrych 1360 vs Svoboda 1384
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ulrych 40% vs Svoboda 100%
Svoboda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ulrych 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ulrych -1 · Svoboda +5
Svoboda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUlrych 2.20 / Svoboda 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051038
Ulrych2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 14 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Svoboda1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 39 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUlrych0wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
Svoboda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricUlrychSvobodaU − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUlrychSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 146 vs 121 / 25058.9%48.4%86 / 146 vs 121 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaUlrych 2.20/Svoboda 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ulrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 31 · 08:00M. Ulrych—8670A. Svoboda—1111113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych1.671111143P. Kulhanek2.1068120WAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113LAug 31 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113M. Ulrych1.838670
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WAug 31 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113M. Ulrych1.838670
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