TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046718
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Ulrych
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181412––––
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Ulrych above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 62 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 59.7%
62 points played in total.
H2H Martin Ulrych 2–1 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Kulhanek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:19What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ulrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ulrych 1355 vs Kulhanek 1329
Ulrych
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ulrych 20% vs Kulhanek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ulrych 40% vs Kulhanek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ulrych +1 · Kulhanek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ulrych) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulhanek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUlrych 1.67 / Kulhanek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Ulrych)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046718
Ulrych1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 41 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Kulhanek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUlrych2wins
AwayKulhanek1wins
Ulrych leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ulrych1Kulhanek2n = 3Kulhanek took 2 of 3
S2Ulrych2Kulhanek1n = 3Ulrych took 2 of 3
S3Ulrych3Kulhanek0n = 3Ulrych took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricUlrychKulhanekU − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.034.3+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUlrychKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 145 vs 222 / 41259.3%53.9%86 / 145 vs 222 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychUlrych 1.67/Kulhanek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ulrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych—1111143P. Kulhanek—68120
LJul 25 · 03:29M. Ulrych—661281P. Kulhanek—111110113
WJul 25 · 24:30M. Ulrych—61211113P. Kulhanek—1110581
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691WAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113LAug 31 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113M. Ulrych1.838670
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123WSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad1.53111357112P. Kulhanek2.389111111133WSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 31 · 13:00A. Svoboda1.3631111113P. Kulhanek3.00117831
Upcoming Matches
M. Ulrych
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P. Kulhanek
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